Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.031380 0.036425 0.042025 0.048703 0.056452 0.065163 0.075707
2025-12-14 0.022676 0.029050 0.036847 0.047093 0.060218 0.076487 0.098222
2025-12-21 0.017601 0.024310 0.033151 0.045666 0.062958 0.086059 0.119357
2025-12-28 0.014942 0.021952 0.031770 0.046546 0.068275 0.099147 0.146524
2026-01-04 0.012823 0.019868 0.030266 0.046762 0.072359 0.110715 0.172853
2026-01-11 0.011168 0.018140 0.028923 0.046852 0.076037 0.121893 0.199866
2026-01-18 0.009968 0.016903 0.028094 0.047513 0.080535 0.134714 0.230998
2026-01-25 0.009089 0.016037 0.027698 0.048749 0.086022 0.149675 0.267524
2026-02-01 0.007897 0.014455 0.025870 0.047248 0.086545 0.156196 0.290151
2026-02-08 0.007071 0.013401 0.024802 0.046907 0.089004 0.166287 0.320365
2026-02-15 0.006348 0.012433 0.023753 0.046433 0.091098 0.175869 0.350747
2026-02-22 0.005878 0.011878 0.023392 0.047196 0.095602 0.190448 0.392609
2026-03-01 0.005299 0.011045 0.022416 0.046666 0.097573 0.200520 0.427184
2026-03-08 0.004712 0.010122 0.021150 0.045386 0.097855 0.207254 0.455824
2026-03-15 0.004198 0.009281 0.019943 0.044063 0.097853 0.213363 0.483895
2026-03-22 0.003935 0.008949 0.019762 0.044924 0.102682 0.230330 0.538275
2026-03-29 0.003647 0.008521 0.019317 0.045134 0.106070 0.244525 0.588219
2026-04-05 0.003380 0.008105 0.018848 0.045221 0.109173 0.258431 0.639345
2026-04-12 0.003176 0.007814 0.018626 0.045860 0.113653 0.276071 0.701904
2026-04-19 0.003026 0.007632 0.018635 0.047052 0.119630 0.298003 0.778163
2026-04-26 0.002732 0.007056 0.017631 0.045604 0.118820 0.303216 0.812282
2026-05-03 0.002530 0.006688 0.017094 0.045275 0.120834 0.315750 0.867389
2026-05-10 0.002340 0.006328 0.016535 0.044817 0.122449 0.327453 0.921864